The same battery analysis you would run on yours, on public telemetry from ground stations around the world.
The battery voltage at the end of each shadow, compared across passes with the same load, temperature and shadow length. A fall means the battery holds less than it did.
Only when the whole range sits below zero. A satellite with too little data is left unresolved, never called.
The voltage the station will see 30 days ahead, scored on weeks the model never saw.
From the telemetry your stations already receive. In the app, under “My satellites”, with the report as a PDF.